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  • You Bet Your Life

    Michael Ruppert Interview
    Peak Oil: The Future of Food Security, Fuel and the Economy


    ----------------------------------------

    YOU BET YOUR LIFE
    By Michael C. Ruppert

    September 2, 2005 0600 PST (FTW) -- Following these remarks is a brilliant piece of reporting by the American Progress Action Fund. It makes a clear case for what we are all now suspecting and seeing: the Bush administration is horribly mismanaging relief efforts along the Gulf Coast. Several things are now becoming clear. It is unlikely that New Orleans will ever be significantly rebuilt. When we talk about collapse as a result of Peak Oil, New Orleans is an exemplary – if horrifying – glimpse of what it will look like for all of us. In the case of New Orleans, however, it’s happening about two or three times as fast as we will see it when Peak Oil becomes an unavoidable, ugly, global reality. How long? Months. If we’re lucky, a year. As of August 2005 it’s not just a race to make sure that a particular region is not eaten by warfare and economic collapse. Mother Nature is obviously very hungry too. What region will be the next to go? What sacrifices can be offered before the inevitable comes knocking at our own personal door? Who can be pushed ahead of us into the mouth of the hungry beast in the hopes it will become sated?

    How low can human beings sink? Keep watching the news. It’s not the first time civilizations have collapsed. This has all happened many times before. This behavior is not new. What is new — but is now dying — is our enshrined belief that there were to be no consequences of our reckless consumption and destruction of the ecosystem. What is now dying a horrible death is America’s grotesque global arrogance, brutality and cupidity.

    What is not being discussed rationally by the mainstream media is Katrina’s impact on energy production. They don’t dare. By my calculations and those of oil energy expert Jan Lundberg, the United States has just lost between 20% and 25% of its energy supply. My projection is that it’s not coming back — at least not most of it.

    As a result of Katrina, Saudi Arabia has finally admitted that it cannot increase production. Many of us knew they’ve been lying for at least two years. The Energy Information Administration has just admitted that global demand has been outstripping supply for several months before Katrina. Nice time to start telling the truth. Nature is finally calling everybody’s bluff. The liars, deniers and mentally ill will be exposed soon enough and they will pay their own price. Daniel Yergin will finally get his comeuppance. FTW’s race is to reach as many people as possible who want to prepare and are willing to prepare for this in local community settings.

    You save whom you can.

    Gulf energy production has four main components: drilling and production, pipeline delivery to shore, refinery capacity, and then delivery to the rest of the nation. We have heard precious little about the damage to Louisiana’s Port Fourchon which is the largest point at which energy passes from sea to land in the region. It is heavily damaged and mostly inoperable for now, despite optimistic financial reports, intended to calm the markets, stating that “damage is minimal.” I am quite sure that I speak for the maybe 250,000 New Orleans residents who couldn’t or wouldn’t get out when I say, “Screw the markets!”

    Production, if and when it starts trickling again, will most likely shift to Port Murphy or to Lake Charles. Sounds easy in the abstract, but the corporate headquarters at which to make and implement those decisions were mostly located in New Orleans. Shifting energy flows will never replace what was lost because those two facilities already face the daunting task of restoring their own output. They can’t handle the additional burden of compensation for what has been lost. As one astute and great researcher put it, “How will the oil companies even find their workers or tell them where to report for work?” Where will the workers live? Where will they buy groceries? How will they get to and from work if the gasoline they’re supposed to produce isn’t there? The Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (LOOP) is also much more seriously damaged than press accounts disclose. It’s here that supertankers from overseas (used to) offload. They have no place else to do it. They’re too big. I have seen video of LOOP damage which doesn’t look anything like the minimal damage that’s been reported. OK, so when the port is fixed what about the damaged pipelines running to shore? How many boat anchors have been dragged over them? In how many places are they ruptured, crushed or broken?

    As many as twenty offshore rigs have now been confirmed as adrift, capsized, listing or sunk. Each rig may have as many as eight wells. Where’s the money coming from to replace them? How long will that take?

    Bottom line: my assessment is that New Orleans is never going to be rebuilt and that US domestic oil production will never again reach pre-Katrina levels. The infrastructure is gone, the people are gone, and the US economy will be on life support very, very quickly. If people are griping at $5.00 gasoline what will they do when it’s $8.00? $10.00? Start shooting (the wrong people)? How difficult is it to rebuild in that kind of social climate? And if US oil production does not soon exceed pre-Katrina levels then the US economy is doomed anyway. It’s a catch-up game now. I think it’s quite likely that the Bush administration is responding so ineptly in part because it is in a complete crisis mode realizing that the entire United States is on the brink of collapse and there’s very little they can do about it. The Bush administration doesn’t know how to build things up, only blow them up. They aren’t worrying about New Orleans because they’re frantically triaging the rest of the nation and deciding what can be saved elsewhere.

    What lingers for all of us is the inexplicably bovine behavior of the Bush administration. And how in the name of a loving God could Louisiana’s Attorney General Charles Foti say on national television that he will prosecute those who loot for survival with the same vigor as those who have looted for profit and greed? Even New Orleans police are smarter and better than this. They’re letting people go who have taken food, water, shoes that fit their feet and clothing that fits their bodies. Those who understand the situation condemn Mr. Foti’s callous and unreasoned position in the strongest possible terms.

    And may God have mercy on the Democratic Party if it approaches the 2008 campaign with a platform saying that oil will flow, the prices will fall, and unbridled consumption will return if only we elect Hillary.

    I was on ABC network satellite radio yesterday and after the show I repeated an observation that has been clear to me for some time. “Demand destruction” has become a priority not only to mitigate Peak Oil but also to mitigate global warming. The United States, with 5% of the world’s people, consumes (wastes) 25% of the world’s energy. How do you destroy demand? You collapse the economy. Homeless, unemployed “refugees” (what a cold, depersonalizing term) don’t buy gas, take trips, fly on airplanes or buy consumer goods (made with energy and requiring energy to operate). They don’t use air conditioning because they can’t afford it. They are the embodiment of Henry Kissinger’s infamous term “useless eaters,” a phrase from the Nazi vocabulary. If energy demand destruction, as acknowledged by the Bilderbergers and the CFR, is a priority, then the only – I repeat only – beast that must be tamed is the United States.

    What happens when we run out of the poor and “minority” people whom our country has historically regarded as expendable – and the beast is still not satisfied?

    The people in New Orleans and Mississippi are being sacrificed just as surely as the World Trade Center, Pentagon and airline victims were sacrificed on 9/11.

    The most chilling thing I have heard is that hurricane Katrina fell on the thirteenth anniversary of Hurricane Andrew which devastated Florida in 1992. Hurricanes are named alphabetically. Andrew was the first tropical storm of 1992. Katrina was the eleventh of 2005 and the hurricane season is just beginning. There are more storms forming now. Some of them will most likely become very large hurricanes because water temperatures are so high in our dying oceans.

    Go ahead. Tell me we’ve all been wrong about Peak Oil, about climate collapse, and the metastatic corruption of our government and economic system. Now it’s an easy bet and one that we will not have to wait long to settle. I’ll take your wager.

    As New Orleans is showing us, and as Groucho Marx once said, “You bet your life!”
    Last edited by PassItOn; 09-21-2005, 06:14 PM.
    "When the government fears the people there is liberty; when the people fear the government there is tyranny."
    --Thomas Jefferson

  • #2
    American Progress

    Questions of Preparedness

    Hurricane Katrina will likely be the worst natural disaster in our nation's history. If indeed thousands have perished, as New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin predicted yesterday, it will also be the deadliest natural disaster in the United States in at least a century, since the 1906 San Francisco earthquake. And as one Louisiana paper put it, "No one can say they didn't see it coming." There have been "decades of repeated warnings about a breach of levees or failure of drainage systems that protect New Orleans from the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain." It's "inappropriate to 'blame' anyone for a natural disaster," the Washington Post rightly observes. "But given how frequently the impact of this one was predicted, and given the scale of the economic and human catastrophe that has resulted, it is certainly fair to ask questions about disaster preparations." Below, a few of those questions:

    WHERE WERE THE PLANS FOR EMERGENCY DISASTER RELIEF?

    The response to Hurricane Katrina "is exposing serious failures by government leaders and crisis planners before Katrina's arrival and flawed execution by relief agencies as the disaster unfolded," the Wall Street Journal reports this morning. Communication failures have been widespread, local officials "found they lacked critical equipment and materials to use in repairs if levees breached," and even "basic emergency management" has been lacking. For instance, former FEMA chief James Lee Witt told reporters yesterday that "in the 1990s, in planning for a New Orleans nightmare scenario, the federal government figured it would pre-deploy nearby ships with pumps to remove water from the below-sea-level city and have hospital ships nearby." Now federal officials say a hospital ship won't leave its port in Baltimore until tomorrow, and isn't expected to arrive for seven days. "These things need to be planned and prepared for; it just doesn't look like it was," Witt said. Other reporters offered a chilling, first-hand perspective: "[A] striking feature of the situation there was the scant presence of civil authority. We did see police controlling some intersections but we saw no military authority and no Red Cross or other health authority. It did not appear that any disaster center had been established by the authorities to communicate with the public. There appeared to be very little, if any, response yet to the enormous challenge of housing, feeding and supporting a devastated population."

    WHY WAS GULF COAST DISASTER PREPARATION SUCH A LOW PRIORITY?

    The planning failures were not limited to the short-term emergency response. As Louisiana Rep. Bobby Jindal (R), one of three members of Congress whose homes were destroyed by Hurricane Katrina, said yesterday: "If we had been investing resources in restoring our coast, it wouldn't have prevented the storm but the barrier islands would have absorbed some of the tidal surge." Unfortunately, the resources were not invested -- either in coastal restoration or the levees -- despite years of pleas. On June 8, 2004, the emergency management chief for Jefferson Parish, Louisiana, complained about a lack of funding for the levees, a long stretch of which had sunk by four feet: "It appears that the money has been moved in the president's budget to handle homeland security and the war in Iraq, and I suppose that's the price we pay. Nobody locally is happy that the levees can't be finished, and we are doing everything we can to make the case that this is a security issue for us." The money never came through, and last year, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers "essentially stopped major work" on the levee system that has now been breached. "It was the first such stoppage in 37 years." Additionally, federal flood control spending for southeastern Louisiana was "chopped from $69 million in 2001 to $36.5 million in 2005," Knight-Ridder reports, even as "federal hurricane protection for the Lake Pontchartrain vicinity in the Army Corps of Engineers' budget dropped from $14.25 million in 2002 to $5.7 million this year." The cuts were strenuously opposed by Louisiana representatives, who "urged Congress earlier this year to dedicate a stream of federal money to Louisiana's coast, only to be opposed by the White House."

    WHY WERE FEMA'S PREPAREDNESS MISSIONS DISMANTLED?

    "The advent of the Bush administration in January 2001 signaled the beginning of the end for FEMA," one expert writes. In particular, the White House targeted the agency's "mitigation" programs -- "the measures taken in advance to minimize the damage caused by natural disasters" -- which emergency specialists consider "a crucial part of the strategy to save lives and cut recovery costs." Shortly after coming into office, "key federal disaster mitigation programs, developed over many years, [were] slashed and tossed aside." FEMA's Project Impact, "a model mitigation program created by the Clinton administration," was canceled outright by the Bush administration on February 28, 2001 -- ironically, the very same day of the 6.8 magnitude Nisqually earthquake in Washington state, which provided one of the "best examples of the impact the program had" in protecting people. Indeed, FEMA employees were officially "directed not to become involved in disaster preparedness functions, since a new directorate (yet to be established) will have that mission."

    WHY WERE INEXPERIENCED POLITICAL APPOINTEES PICKED TO HEAD FEMA?

    Since taking office, President Bush "has appointed, in succession, his 2000 campaign manager and an Oklahoma lawyer whose only emergency management experience prior to joining FEMA was as an assistant city manager." According to one emergency expert, these officials "showed little interest in its work or in the missions pursued by the departed [former FEMA chief James Lee Witt]," who led emergency management in Arkansas and "reoriented FEMA from civil defense preparations to a focus on natural disaster preparedness and disaster mitigation." Indeed, Washington Monthly editor Daniel Franklin yesterday noted, "The difficulties of coordination seem to indicate we've returned to the bad old days where the FEMA administrator position is given away on the basis of political favor, rather than hard experience."
    "When the government fears the people there is liberty; when the people fear the government there is tyranny."
    --Thomas Jefferson

    Comment


    • #3
      I'd say New Orleans is done for at least the next 2 or 3 years if not longer.

      Why? Because for Louisiana and Mississippi, 25% of their revenue comes from--yes you guessed it: Gambling.

      Instead of the states investing their money into more productive avenues, they invested in the gambling industry. You ever wonder why there are "floating" casinos on the Gulf Coast? Because it is against the law to gamble on the land itself.

      Since New Orleans is below sea level, I would queston any attempts to rebuild the city. Not to mention that huge pumps that are used to pump water out of the city are destroyed--with no real replacements available anywhere else. They need to move the city to ground that's at least at sea level or above, and of course, much more inland.

      As for the rescue missions, they need to step it up big time to evacuate the entire town. The reason is that according to meteorologists, we're not even at the peak of hurricane season yet. Even a small hurricane that doesn't even directly hit the affected areas would cause devastation on a massive scale. Currently, there are two tropical systems in the Atlantic, one is moving away from land--but considering the path that Katrina took, that doesn't mean anything. The other hasn't really formed, but has plenty of time to do so, and the conditions are favorable.

      We should all pray for the people and all those who are affected. But also pray that people will think about their fellowman instead of looking at what's financially best.

      Comment


      • #4
        Heartbreaking...


        Real Media
        Windows Media
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        Audio Mp3

        Parish president sheds outrage, tears
        By MICHAEL PRECKER

        The Dallas Morning News

        Weeping on national television, Jefferson Parish President Aaron Broussard told a heartbreaking story Sunday of a woman who pleaded for help but drowned before it came.

        It was a single tale from a week of tragedies, and focusing on her quickly changed Mr. Broussard's tone from angry accusation to uncontrollable tears.

        On NBC's Meet the Press Sunday morning, Mr. Broussard complained bitterly about the slow federal response to the New Orleans flood, demanding investigations and resignations.

        "We have been abandoned by our own country," Mr. Broussard said. "Whoever is at the top of this totem pole, that totem pole needs to be chain-sawed off, and we've got to start with some new leadership."

        Asked by host Tim Russert whether state and local officials deserved more of the blame, he replied, "They were told like me, every single day, 'The cavalry's coming,' on a federal level, 'The cavalry's coming, the cavalry's coming, the cavalry's coming.'

        "I have just begun to hear the hoofs of the cavalry," Mr. Broussard said. "The cavalry's still not here yet, but I've begun to hear the hoofs, and we're almost a week out."

        The parish president praised Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco, the National Guard and legions of rescue workers. But he was particularly critical of the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

        Mr. Broussard said FEMA turned away three trailer trucks of water that Wal-Mart sent to New Orleans before the hurricane, refused to allow the Coast Guard to deliver diesel fuel to his parish and cut off emergency communication lines without notice.

        He said that Sheriff Harry Lee reconnected the lines Saturday and posted armed guards to protect them.

        Mr. Broussard quoted the sheriff as saying that if the "American government would have responded like Wal-Mart has responded, we wouldn't be in this crisis."

        The parish president pleaded for help. "Nobody's coming to get us. Nobody's coming to get us. The secretary has promised. Everybody's promised. They've had press conferences. I'm sick of the press conferences. For God sakes, shut up and send us somebody."

        There was no immediate response from FEMA to the criticism.

        Then Mr. Broussard put it all on a personal level. He said the man who runs the building where he is based spoke every day last week to his mother, who was trapped in a nursing home in St. Bernard, near the city.

        "Every day she called him and said, 'Are you coming, son? Is somebody coming?'

        "And he said, 'Yeah, Mama, somebody's coming to get you. Somebody's coming to get you on Tuesday. Somebody's coming to get you on Wednesday. Somebody's coming to get you on Thursday. Somebody's coming to get you on Friday.'"

        Breaking into sobs, Mr. Broussard said, "And she drowned Friday night. She drowned Friday night."
        "When the government fears the people there is liberty; when the people fear the government there is tyranny."
        --Thomas Jefferson

        Comment


        • #5
          This is awful. The man running FEMA is an absolute dick. Ted Koppel put his ass on the spot, and he pussy-footed around every fucking question. The dude is a former horse-rancher then appointed by Bush to his position now. Its obvious he failed miserably, but the other day Bush lauded him for doing an excellent job. The man is incapable of recognizing a bad decision he made even when it stares him in the face.

          The government was blaming local and state officials, but they were saying what this article is: that people kept telling them help was on the way. God knows whats going on.
          Originally posted by ethan20
          There's a correlation between cervixal cancer in women and un-circumsized penises. Not to mention it almost cuts your bacteria count on the penis in half.
          Originally posted by reservoirGod
          Ethan sure does know alot about dicks

          Comment


          • #6
            miami got more money than my sister's area from those 2 or 3 hurricanes that hit almost the same spot north 100 miles of me, miami's about half hour south. considering the fact they had no more effect on my area than the average rain storm i'd conclude...fema is full of shit.
            My other aliases:
            justp1ayin
            West
            Masai
            On The Shelf

            Originally posted by Nasen
            i seeth for a minute
            Originally posted by Derty JaSoN
            i have no clue who was de-re whatever

            Comment


            • #7
              EXCELLENT read. God help us......
              Would you let the system sit (shit) down on your head again? NO, DREAD, NO.
              Would you let the system
              make you kill your brother man? NO, DREAD, NO
              .

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by StereoType
                The Blame Game: Why Blanco is at fault, not Bush and Nagin.

                "blame should be put on Governor Blanco and not the President. This situation falls under the Posse Comitatus Act. Under the Posse Comitatus Act, federal military force cannot be used with support of local law enforcement unless requested by the state Governor. In Louisiana, that request did not come from the Governor until September 2."
                Governor's August 28 request for assistance
                Raw Story


                The following is a letter written to President George W. Bush, and publicly released, by Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco on August 27, 2005. On August 28, authorities told residents to leave the city of New Orleans. The next morning, Katrina struck in Louisiana. By August 30, an estimated 80% of the city was underwater. See timeline.

                On September 4, The Washington Post claimed that Federal authorities blamed Blanco for failure to react and slow response time, reporting that the Bush Administration had asked the Governor to hand authority over to them on the evening of September 2, five days after people were told to leave New Orleans, and four days after the hurricane hit Louisiana. Accusations of slow response have also come in from pundits (like Bill O'Reilly), and an e-mail that is reportedly calling for the Governor's impeachment.

                Text of the Governor's letter, sent August 28, follows. (Note: The letter below, which was copied by Raw Story from an Aug. 27th press release, was updated before being sent to the President on Aug. 28th. The changes were based on new information regarding Katrina's severity and path, and included even more substantial requests for Federal assistance. The updated version can be viewed by going here. --PassItOn)

                August 28, 2005

                The President The White House Washington, D. C.

                Through: Regional Director FEMA Region VI 800 North Loop 288 Denton, Texas 76209


                Dear Mr. President:

                Under the provisions of Section 501 (a) of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act, 42 U.S.C. §§ 5121-5206 (Stafford Act), and implemented by 44 CFR § 206.35, I request that you declare an emergency for the State of Louisiana due to Hurricane Katrina for the time period beginning August 26, 2005, and continuing. The affected areas are all the southeastern parishes including the New Orleans Metropolitan area and the mid state Interstate I-49 corridor and northern parishes along the I-20 corridor that are accepting the thousands of citizens evacuating from the areas expecting to be flooded as a result of Hurricane Katrina.

                In response to the situation I have taken appropriate action under State law and directed the execution of the State Emergency Plan on August 26, 2005 in accordance with Section 501 (a) of the Stafford Act. A State of Emergency has been issued for the State in order to support the evacuations of the coastal areas in accordance with our State Evacuation Plan and the remainder of the state to support the State Special Needs and Sheltering Plan.

                Pursuant to 44 CFR § 206.35, I have determined that this incident is of such severity and magnitude that effective response is beyond the capabilities of the State and affected local governments, and that supplementary Federal assistance is necessary to save lives, protect property, public health, and safety, or to lessen or avert the threat of a disaster. I am specifically requesting emergency protective measures, direct Federal Assistance, Individual and Household Program (IHP) assistance, Special Needs Program assistance, and debris removal.

                Preliminary estimates of the types and amount of emergency assistance needed under the Stafford Act, and emergency assistance from certain Federal agencies under other statutory authorities are tabulated in Enclosure A.

                The following information is furnished on the nature and amount of State and local resources that have been or will be used to alleviate the conditions of this emergency: • Department of Social Services (DSS): Opening (3) Special Need Shelters (SNS) and establishing (3) on Standby. • Department of Health and Hospitals (DHH): Opening (3) Shelters and establishing (3) on Standby. • Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (OHSEP): Providing generators and support staff for SNS and Public Shelters. • Louisiana State Police (LSP): Providing support for the phased evacuation of the coastal areas. • Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries (WLF): Supporting the evacuation of the affected population and preparing for Search and Rescue Missions.

                Mr. President Page Two August 28, 2005

                • Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development (DOTD): Coordinating traffic flow and management of the evacuations routes with local officials and the State of Mississippi.

                The following information is furnished on efforts and resources of other Federal agencies, which have been or will be used in responding to this incident:

                • FEMA ERT-A Team en-route.

                I certify that for this emergency, the State and local governments will assume all applicable non-Federal share of costs required by the Stafford Act.

                I request Direct Federal assistance for work and services to save lives and protect property.

                (a) List any reasons State and local government cannot perform or contract for performance, (if applicable).

                Specify the type of assistance requested.

                In accordance with 44 CFR § 206.208, the State of Louisiana agrees that it will, with respect to Direct Federal assistance:

                1. Provide without cost to the United States all lands, easement, and rights-of-ways necessary to accomplish the approved work.

                2. Hold and save the United States free from damages due to the requested work, and shall indemnify the Federal Government against any claims arising from such work;

                3. Provide reimbursement to FEMA for the non-Federal share of the cost of such work in accordance with the provisions of the FEMA-State Agreement; and

                4. Assist the performing Federal agency in all support and local jurisdictional matters.

                In addition, I anticipate the need for debris removal, which poses an immediate threat to lives, public health, and safety.

                Pursuant to Sections 502 and 407 of the Stafford Act, 42 U.S.C. §§ 5192 & 5173, the State agrees to indemnify and hold harmless the United States of America for any claims arising from the removal of debris or wreckage for this disaster. The State agrees that debris removal from public and private property will not occur until the landowner signs an unconditional authorization for the removal of debris.

                I have designated Mr. Art Jones as the State Coordinating Officer for this request. He will work with the Federal Emergency Management Agency in damage assessments and may provide further information or justification on my behalf.

                Sincerely,

                Kathleen Babineaux Blanco Governor Enclosure

                ENCLOSURE A TO EMERGENCY REQUEST

                Estimated requirements for other Federal agency programs:

                • Department of Social Services (DSS): Opening (3) Special Need Shelters (SNS) and establishing (3) on Standby. Costs estimated at $500,000 per week for each in operation.

                • Department of Health and Hospitals (DHH): Opening (3) Shelters and establishing (3) on Standby. Costs estimated at $500,000 per week for each in operation.

                • Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (OHSEP): Providing generators and support staff for SNS and Public Shelters. Costs estimated to range from $250,000-$500,000 to support (6) Shelter generator operations.

                • Louisiana State Police (LSP): Costs to support evacuations - $300,000 for a non-direct landfall.

                • Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries (WLF): Costs to support evacuations - $200,000 for a non-direct landfall.

                • Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development (DOTD): Costs to support evacuations - $2,000,000 for a non-direct landfall.

                Totals: $ 9,000,000

                Estimated Requirements for assistance under the Stafford Act:

                Coordination: $0

                Technical and advisory assistance: $0

                Debris removal: $0

                Emergency protective measures: $ 9,000,000

                Individuals and Households Program (IHP): $0

                Distribution of emergency supplies: $0

                Other (specify): $0

                Totals: $ 9,000,000

                Grand Total: $ 9,000,000
                Last edited by PassItOn; 09-08-2005, 10:01 AM.
                "When the government fears the people there is liberty; when the people fear the government there is tyranny."
                --Thomas Jefferson

                Comment


                • #9
                  shits hard to watch a second time around....

                  more info about global warming at www.climatechange.net
                  or more specifically....
                  http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu...ann_Jones1.pdf
                  Last edited by NyTe^CRaWLeR; 09-08-2005, 10:43 AM.

                  WWW.LIFEAFTERTHEOILCRASH.NET

                  WWW.LIFEAFTERTHEOILCRASH.NET WWW.LIFEAFTERTHEOILCRASH.NET

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Incredible. The plain audacity of the lies is sometimes simply unbelievable. Has the public become SO numb and dumb that our "rulers" can simply assert things that are demonstrably false, one after another, and "we" (usually refers to the official media version of events really) just run with it??

                    Totally incredible. If this doesn't shake up the discussion, I don't think anything will.

                    Peace.

                    As always, PassItOn, excellent work......
                    Would you let the system sit (shit) down on your head again? NO, DREAD, NO.
                    Would you let the system
                    make you kill your brother man? NO, DREAD, NO
                    .

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Excellent read, unfortunately I have the sinking feeling that Americans are too proud of themselves to admit an error in judgement, and even though this current administration is hated throughout the world and has brought nothing but the collapse of a once prosperous land, Im afraid it is too late. (fall of Rome, fall of Germany all happened because the empire was spread too thin) And it's happening now to America and dragging it's close friends right along with it. If I had to measure the current Bush administration by it accomplishments then I would be hard presses for a measurement at all, within 5 years of the Clinton admisitration AMerica was flourishing, and big hurricanes hit during Clinton's time in office as well, why did'nt he crumble and take 4 days to send help?

                      People that still defend the adminstration in light of the state of the Environment under it's watch and the state of the country under its watch and the state of it's world standing under its watch is rediculous and its about time Republicans pull their heads outta their asses and realize Bush is a failure, he always has been and always will be. You cannot make a loser a winner by making him more important, cuz at the end of the day he is still a loser. Stories like these only solidify my resolve, and make me feel pity for a country that is only at the beginning of Hurricane season and has already gone to shit.

                      Oh and just as a side note : The Gulf of Mexico is MUCH warmer than the Atlantic Ocean due to it being a smaller and shallower body of water, add to that the immense amount of warmer polluted water added to it daily from large warm rivers and you have a perfect area for force 1 and 2 hurricanes to very, very quickly become a category 5. This is logic, Bush has better scientists working for him than I am, but I could of given an accurate forecast within 2 days prior to Katerina hitting compared to Bush's excuse of "not knowing" or "nobody could have guessed" bullshit excuses. This entire ordeal is bullshit, and if the states gets hit by any of the other 3 Hurricanes forming off the Atlantic in a city like New York or Boston then good luck with that. Hope your leadership holds out and that the Horse trainer/FEMA director has all the ropes covered for you guys. Other wise Im moving to Costa Rica.
                      One convienient location...... somewhere in Africa.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        The Peak-Oil Crisis: The Storms of August
                        By Tom Whipple
                        Falls Church News Press

                        It has become fashionable in peak oil circles to make the comparison between the current summer and that of 1914— just before the cataclysm of World War I. That year too, was a warm and idyllic summer in which the people went happily about their business unaware the assassination of an archduke was about to destroy the old order and plunge the world into decades of turmoil.

                        This time, the trouble spawned in the South Atlantic , strengthened in a global-warmed Caribbean and slammed into the heart of the US oil industry. The flooding of New Orleans and the destruction of miles of the Gulf coast will rank among the greatest natural disasters America has ever known, for a number of reasons.

                        For the Gulf oil industry, the approach of a Category 5 Hurricane was a signal to shutdown and run for cover. The super tankers bringing up to 900,000 barrels a day to the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (The LOOP) headed elsewhere. The 55,000 oil workers on platforms out in the Gulf shut off the pumps, plugged their wells, and boarded ships and helicopters to safety, thus halting the production of some 1.4 million barrels of oil a day — some seven percent of US daily consumption.

                        Eight refineries in the path of the storm were shut down and the workers evacuated. This reduced immediately US refining by 1.8 million barrels a day.

                        As the storm moved towards shore, first the offshore oil platforms in its path were badly mauled. Some 30 rigs were sunk including hubs that concentrate and prepare the oil for transport to shore. We do not yet have a complete assessment of the damage to the undersea network of pipelines that brings the oil to shore, but if the damage done by much weaker Hurricane Ivan last year is any guide it should be considerable. In the opinion of one knowledgeable commentator, it will take years to bring production back to pre-hurricane levels.

                        Finally, the storm cut the electricity to the pipelines moving some 3 million barrels per day of gasoline, jet fuel, and heating oil from the Gulf refineries to consumers in the mid-west and the East Coast.

                        The week before the hurricane, the US gasoline inventory was down to 194 million barrels or about a 19-day supply. The loss of production from 10 refineries and the shutting down of the pipelines soon led to spot shortages running from the Rockies through the mid-west to the Southeast. The West Coast and north of New York are not part of the Gulf oil infrastructure.

                        As could be expected, spot shortages quickly developed as long as the pipelines were out of operation and local distributors had to rely on whatever inventory was in their tank farms. Panic buying added to the problem. In the Washington area, Exxon-Mobile reported that their sales doubled as people rushed to fill their tanks in face of rapidly rising prices and potential shortages.

                        By week's end, however, the electricity was restored to the pipelines and an additional 20 days supply became available to the south eastern states. (It takes about 20 days for a barrel of oil to pop out in Virginia once it has entered the pipeline.)

                        The reopening of the pipelines, of course, takes care of our fuel supply for the next couple of weeks, but what about the missing 1.4 million barrels of daily production from the Gulf and the gasoline from the four severely damaged refineries?

                        As soon as the Administration became aware of the extent of the losses, it made a decision. As any one who follows the world energy situation knows, the worldwide supply and demand situation is extremely tight. OPEC has no spare production capacity, except possibly for some sour, heavy, hard to refine crude from Saudi Arabia . US refineries have been running flat out for months. In this situation, the only choice was conservation or borrowing. They chose to borrow.

                        The first borrowing was from the US strategic petroleum reserve, which was just topped up to its authorized 700 million barrels last month. A release from strategic reserves is supposed to be a joint decision of all the 26 members of Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA), so initially the Administration "loaned" petroleum to Louisiana refineries that were still operational, but had lost their crude supplies from the Gulf.

                        After a series of urgent meetings, the IEA agreed to honor international commitments and voted for a one-month release of 60 million barrels of crude and refined products from its members' strategic reserve stocks to stabilize the world energy situation during the crisis.

                        About half the "release," is to come from the US strategic reserve and the rest, mainly refined products, will come from other IEA members stockpiles. About 20 percent will come from Japan and other Asian countries, 10 percent from Germany , seven percent from France , and five percent from Spain .

                        Now we get to the key question of what all this means for those of us living here on the East Coast and who are hopelessly dependent on Gulf produced or refined oil for our lifestyles and livelihoods.

                        First, there will be an unprecedented natural gas problem this winter with prices increasing several fold and there will most likely be serious shortages. There is simply no way to replace the shut-in Gulf production in time for the winter heating season.

                        Next, our gasoline and jet fuel supplies here in Virginia , are precarious to say the least. For the next few weeks, inventories should be sufficient to prevent a general shortage. After that, much depends on the speed with which the heavily damaged refineries can be repaired and the willingness or ability of Europe and wealthy Asian nations to keep shipping us gasoline.

                        Already, European editorial writers and columnists are starting to grumble. They raise the specter of Americans in Hummers, gobbling up Europe 's heating oil for next winter. The head of the IEA warned that there will be a worldwide energy crisis if the US tries to replace its missing oil production and gasoline refining by outbidding everyone else on the world market. As usual, it is the poor African nations that will suffer the most. Furthermore, it is becoming evident that $3-4 gasoline does not significantly reduce American consumption and that we will continue driving at our normal pace until stopped by still higher prices or general shortages.

                        What does the hurricane damage have to do with peak oil? World production and consumption are currently balanced at around 84 million barrels a day. Losing a million plus of this for an indefinite period certainly doesn't help increase production. This time, there is no sign of our Saudi friends coming to the rescue as in past oil crises. Given the decline of production taking place in most of the world's major oil fields, it is becoming increasing difficult to make a case for significantly higher levels of world oil production are on the horizon.

                        For the United States , borrowing our way out of the current predicament without any serious conservation measures (such as a 55 mph speed limit or rationing) certainly can't last long.

                        Several years ago Kenneth Deffeyes, one of the leading peak oil theorists, facetiously selected Thanksgiving 2005 as the exact date the world would reach Hubbert's peak. You know, it is starting to look as if he just might be right.

                        -------------------------------

                        Michael Ruppert writes...

                        "This little newspaper which serves an exclusive Washington, D.C. suburb, home to many DC policy makers and their families keeps dropping bombshell after bombshell. It’s clear that what the DC elites feed the rest of us is far different from what they feed themselves in terms of information and analysis. This amazing analysis by Tom Whipple hits the nail right on the head and asks some of the key questions I am asking in a large new essay for FTW which I hope to have finished in a week. The cold hard facts laid out here spell it out starkly that the post-petroleum collapse is most likely upon us right now and that we are the ones fiddling while Rome begins its burn."
                        "When the government fears the people there is liberty; when the people fear the government there is tyranny."
                        --Thomas Jefferson

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Probably the most important thread ever.

                          Read it people.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Again, thanks PassItOn. I want to subscribe to his newsletter, but I won't have the time to read it, I think.....how long is the newsletter generally. As in, how much info per week (in pages) do you receive?? THanks again,

                            Peace
                            Would you let the system sit (shit) down on your head again? NO, DREAD, NO.
                            Would you let the system
                            make you kill your brother man? NO, DREAD, NO
                            .

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Rainstorm
                              Again, thanks PassItOn. I want to subscribe to his newsletter, but I won't have the time to read it, I think.....how long is the newsletter generally. As in, how much info per week (in pages) do you receive?? THanks again,

                              Peace
                              The newsletter is usually all the articles published on the website throughout month. If you purchase an online subscription, which costs about half as much as a subscription to The New York Times, access to the articles will be available online as soon as they are written.

                              Is it worth it?

                              You can always wait 30 days for the articles to be released to none subscribers, but in my opinion, the From the Wilderness staff and other dedicated researchers deserve all the support we can give them, especially now.

                              More importantly, when energy shortages start affecting your community's ability to function, FTW will have the most up to date information on how to localize the necessities needed for survival. I cannot stress that point enough.
                              "When the government fears the people there is liberty; when the people fear the government there is tyranny."
                              --Thomas Jefferson

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